I think that if President Mubarak resigns, instability will consume the Middle East. Egypt has been a moderating effect on other, less stable Middle Eastern countries like Lebanon and Iraq, and both the United States and the EU consider Egypt to be a vital ally. If Egypt tumbles, who knows? Israel, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran could all be drawn into war. Israel is actually much like North Korea on the other side of Asia. If North Korea attacks its southern neighbor, most of Eastern Asia will be drawn into war. Just like Israel's conquests of Syria's Golan Heights and Egypt's Giza Strip.
The Arab World is in a transition period. In the Middle Ages they were the cutting-edge in medicine and science. But now we see terrorism, suicide bombers and war all associated with the Muslim religion. I highly doubt that Islamic culture is like this. I might be mistaken, but doesn't the Koran (the Muslim holy book, for those noobs that don't know) value peace over war? There is fear in their eyes. Fear of Western influences. Fear of the Jews in Israel. Fear that their way of life will be crushed.
Now that I mention it, the West. Egypt's crisis isn't very good for the West. What if Mubarak is overthrown, and some pro-terrorist Taliban takes his place? Egypt could become a second Iraq and Afghanistan. They do share some similarities: Iraq and Afghanistan were once stable, prosperous countries. But then the stern dictatorships of Saddam Hussein and the Taliban take over, and both countries have been plunged into chaos. Egypt could add oil to an already blazing Middle Eastern fire.
No comments:
Post a Comment